Matt
Emerson
English
1A
Moneyball: How to Even Out the
Odds in Baseball
There’s a universal concept in the
business world that “Cash is King.!” To quote the great Shaolin style hip hop
masters the Wu Tang Clan who said “Cash rules everything around me, “C.R.E.A.M”
get the money, dolla dolla bill ya’ll.”
Our society defines business success and failures in terms of equity and
assets, revenue over expendures (i.e., the amount of money you gain each year
vs. money lost) and the bottom dollar amount after a balance sheet has been
published.
In
sports, the business equivalent of the “cash is king” is “Moneyball”—a concept
that was the theme of a recent movie box office hit starring Brad Pitt. A business model developed by Bill James, made
famous by Oakland Athletics GM Billy Beane, Moneyball basically establishes the
idea that an average or run of the mill ball club with a less than modest
payroll can obtain players that are paid “reasonable” to “bear bones” wages and
compete effectively against the few teams that command giant payrolls, big
business and superstar athletes, and achieve that ultimate and universal goal
of all athletics: score.
In baseball, teams are built to
accomplish one universal goal-- to win a championship. It stands to reason that
to be the best in the entire league takes the best effort and the best players.
In accordance with the laws of supply and demand, a few teams such as the Yankees
and the Boston Red Sox have successfully created dominant business structures that control mass
amounts of monies which are then used to outbid their competition to “buy” the
“best” ball players…just like any other business. Moneyball challenges the idea that the team
with the most money wins. The concept suggests that competent players being
paid average league salaries can come together as a team to compete with players
that make possibly 10 to 50 times what the average player makes, in some cases
even 100 times what the average player is being paid! Moneyball is grounded on the principle that a
team of players who have an average hits and reach base can compete against a
team of one or two superstars who have a high average reaching base many times
or have a more frequent home-run success. How well an average player gets on
base is one main rule that holds this idea together in the baseball world.
Rather than trying to buy huge
superstars who in some cases may not even continue to play well or be the best
anymore (for example, Alex Rodriguez with a $275M contract) Moneyball says a
team of with a mix of decent players who all can get on base well and can throw
a certain way that doesn’t allow batters to reach base can build on the small
things and average out over the course of a game in order to accomplish bigger
tasks. Throwing money away on hyped players who don’t end up performing and losing
in the playoffs or not making them at all has always been the main reasons why the
monied teams do not accomplish their goals of winning a championship. Perhaps,
in the end, it seems, it is the old tortoise and the hare concept repackaged in
a freshly minted 21st century package.
Moneyball
states that the small guys like the Oakland A’s with a second to last payroll
of $55 million can successfully compete
athletically against superstar teams like the Yankees that that have $200M
dollars to spend each year. It is ironic and to some ardent baseball fans
tantamount to criminal that some superstar players make more in their contracts
than whole teams have to spend in 5 years. The Moneyball strategy has led the
A’s to win enough games to make it to the playoffs 2 of the last 7 years and
keeps fans coming back even though the coaches do not go out during the
offseason and pursue the highly paid and over-paid athletes. The A’s won’t even
bring back players who exceed expectations and have years where they put up exceptional
stats that give them the ability to ask for more money when the time comes.
Instead, the A’s would rather trade these players who proved themselves for a
year or two. Players sought out from these trades are young talents that have
the upside and potential to equal the player that they have let go and in many
times these players exceed the amount of talent that the one player provided to
the team.
Through the acquisition of young
players, the amount of total contracts can equal the amount of one veteran
player. Young talent can be used to also acquire some mid-level veterans that
give the team someone who is cheap but has the experience to handle certain
situations that the club will inevitably face. The constant revolving door of
players makes it hard for fans to continue their loyalty to the club which may
trade or release fan favorites. But with the old going out it brings the opportunity
for someone who is unproved to step into that role, thrive and make a name for
them or fail and never reach their hype or potential. Some might think it hard to continue success
when the team has a good year but no “big” moves are made to possibly put them
over the edge. In fact, some moves might appear to some that the team is
unloading their roster as if they had not been close to winning enough games to
make it to the postseason.
This business concept that the Athletics’
use has been adopted by a few teams across the league, who try to follow the
success that Oakland has been having but the process of moneyball can take a year
maybe even five years to acquire either enough talent or good enough players to
compete. Plus, there is the team element that no one ever talks about which is
team chemistry, liking the guy next to you or the guys who you don’t really
have anything in common with at another position. The A’s find a way to get
past the egos and the attitude of these athletes who make hundreds of thousands
to millions a year and focus on the bigger picture to help the team while
helping themselves. To make the system work, there are a lot of little things
that have to go right and sometime things can go wrong too, but the way that
the Athletics can come into a new season every year and not be given any
respect for their abilities must be hard to deal with. But, while analysts say
the team could set a new record for losses, proving them wrong is probably one
of their greatest feelings of accomplishment besides winning the World Series.
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